RISMEDIA, July 11, 2008-In Grant Thornton LLP’s 2008 Real Estate Survey, nearly six in 10 real estate executives (57%) have a pessimistic outlook regarding the U.S. economy for the next year, and almost half of the respondents (48%) have similar feelings about the real estate industry’s business outlook. These numbers show a sharp decline in optimism from 2006, when only 15% of respondents had a pessimistic outlook about the economy, and a scant five percent were pessimistic about the real estate industry’s outlook.
Despite these pessimistic economic and industry outlooks, respondents’ attitudes toward their own companies remain much more positive. Half of the respondents express an optimistic outlook for their own companies in the coming year, and only 12% had a pessimistic outlook. In 2006, 80% of respondents had a positive outlook for their own companies in the next year.
When asked about the single most important issue facing their industry in the next year, more than one-third of real estate executives (36%) chose the national economy. Other concerns included earnings and operation results (21%), the ability to access capital (19%), tenant relationships (10%), and rising costs (5%), among others.
Survey respondents also weighed in on anticipated rate changes in the market. These are some of the predicted rate changes in the coming year:
- 69% think the unemployment rates in their market will increase.
- Three-fifths (61%) predict vacancy rates will rise in their market.
- 79% of respondents expect capitalization rates to increase nationally.
- 76% believe the capitalization rates will increase in their market.
- Half of respondents (51%) think interest rates will decrease.
Grant Thornton LLP’s 2008 Real Estate Survey was designed to elicit the opinions and activities of a broad range of real estate industry professionals. The real estate executives were polled in two ways. First, an invitation to participate in the online survey was sent to nearly 1,900 real estate contacts in Grant Thornton’s database. This effort was followed up with a communication to 4,000 developers, owners and investors who are members of the National Association of Industrial and Office Properties (NAIOP). NAIOP’s members include developers, owners, investors and other professionals in the industrial, office and mixed-use real estate industry. A total of 341 survey responses were collected between March 2, 2008, and March 26,
2008.
For more information, visit www.GrantThornton.com.
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